SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 38.07%. A win for Dundee United had a probability of 34.75% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Dundee United win was 0-1 (10.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arbroath | Draw | Dundee United |
38.07% ( 0.83) | 27.17% ( 0.19) | 34.75% ( -1.02) |
| Both teams to score 50.26% ( -0.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.85% ( -0.82) | 55.14% ( 0.82) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.61% ( -0.68) | 76.39% ( 0.68) |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.91% ( 0.1) | 28.09% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.24% ( 0.12) | 63.75% ( -0.12) |
| Dundee United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.89% ( -1.04) | 30.1% ( 1.04) |
