SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Riyadh win with a probability of 38.77%. A win for Al Tai had a probability of 34.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Riyadh win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest Al Tai win was 1-0 (9.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Al Tai | Draw | Al Riyadh |
34.31% ( 0.07) | 26.92% ( -0.04) | 38.77% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 51% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.82% ( 0.18) | 54.18% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.41% ( 0.15) | 75.59% ( -0.15) |
| Al Tai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.09% ( 0.13) | 29.91% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.99% ( 0.16) | 66.01% ( -0.16) |
| Al Riyadh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.77% ( 0.07) | 27.23% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.35% ( 0.09) | 62.65% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Tai | Draw | Al Riyadh |
| 1-0 @ 9.83% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.72% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.93% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.11% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.39% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.02% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.38% Total : 34.31% | 1-1 @ 12.78% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.14% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.91% | 0-1 @ 10.59% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 8.32% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.89% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.61% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.99% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 2.05% Total : 38.77% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Al-HilalAl-Hilal | 15 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 46 | 8 | 38 | 41 |
| 2 | Al-Nassr | 15 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 18 | 21 | 34 |
| 3 | Al-AhliAl-Ahli | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 19 | 13 | 30 |
| 4 | Al Ittihad | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 28 |
| 5 | Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 24 | 14 | 10 | 28 |
| 6 | Damac | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 24 |
| 7 | Al Fateh | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 24 |
| 8 | Al Ettifaq | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 24 |
| 9 | Al Fayha | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 19 |
| 10 | Al WahdaAl Wahda | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 19 |
| 11 | Al ShababAl Shabab | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 17 |
| 12 | Al Tai | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 17 |
| 13 | Al Riyadh | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 16 |
| 14 | Al Khaleej | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 13 |
| 15 | Al Okhdood | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 13 |
| 16 | Abha | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 17 | 37 | -20 | 13 |
| 17 | Al RaedAl Raed | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 12 |
| 18 | Al Hazem | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 41 | -24 | 11 |
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