SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Shabab win with a probability of 42.55%. A win for Al Riyadh had a probability of 32.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Shabab win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Al Riyadh win was 1-0 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Al Riyadh | Draw | Al Shabab |
32.23% ( -0.17) | 25.22% ( -0.06) | 42.55% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 55.99% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.48% ( 0.21) | 47.52% ( -0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.27% ( 0.2) | 69.73% ( -0.2) |
| Al Riyadh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.04% ( -0) | 27.96% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.4% ( -0) | 63.6% ( -0) |
| Al Shabab Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.72% ( 0.2) | 22.28% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.27% ( 0.3) | 55.73% ( -0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Riyadh | Draw | Al Shabab |
| 1-0 @ 7.94% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 7.59% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 5.06% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.23% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.42% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.15% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 2.81% Total : 32.23% | 1-1 @ 11.92% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.23% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.22% | 0-1 @ 9.36% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.95% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 7.02% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.48% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 3.52% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.68% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.3% Total : 42.55% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Al-HilalAl-Hilal | 15 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 46 | 8 | 38 | 41 |
| 2 | Al-Nassr | 15 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 18 | 21 | 34 |
| 3 | Al-AhliAl-Ahli | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 19 | 13 | 30 |
| 4 | Al Ittihad | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 30 | 15 | 15 | 28 |
| 5 | Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 24 | 14 | 10 | 28 |
| 6 | Al Fateh | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 24 |
| 7 | Al Ettifaq | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 23 |
| 8 | Damac | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 21 |
| 9 | Al Fayha | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 19 |
| 10 | Al WahdaAl Wahda | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 19 |
| 11 | Al Tai | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 17 |
| 12 | Al ShababAl Shabab | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 16 |
| 13 | Al Riyadh | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 16 |
| 14 | Al Khaleej | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 13 |
| 15 | Al Okhdood | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 13 |
| 16 | Abha | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 17 | 37 | -20 | 13 |
| 17 | Al RaedAl Raed | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 12 |
| 18 | Al Hazem | 15 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 41 | -26 | 8 |
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