SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Kholood win with a probability of 42.3%. A win for Al Riyadh had a probability of 31.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Kholood win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Al Riyadh win was 0-1 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Kholood would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al Kholood | Draw | Al Riyadh |
42.3% ( 0.05) | 25.73% ( 0.1) | 31.96% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 54.19% ( -0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.19% ( -0.46) | 49.81% ( 0.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.19% ( -0.41) | 71.81% ( 0.42) |
| Al Kholood Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.61% ( -0.17) | 23.39% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.63% ( -0.25) | 57.37% ( 0.26) |
| Al Riyadh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.73% ( -0.33) | 29.27% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.77% ( -0.41) | 65.23% ( 0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Kholood | Draw | Al Riyadh |
| 1-0 @ 9.95% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 8.88% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.23% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 4.3% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.5% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.64% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.27% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.03% Total : 42.31% | 1-1 @ 12.22% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.85% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.73% | 0-1 @ 8.41% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 7.51% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 5.17% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.51% Total : 31.96% |
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