SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 58.5%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Al Wahda had a probability of 18.37%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.06%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for an Al Wahda win it was 0-1 (6.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Ahli would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al-Ahli | Draw | Al Wahda |
58.5% ( 0.35) | 23.13% ( -0.13) | 18.37% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 48.6% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.51% ( 0.2) | 50.49% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.58% ( 0.18) | 72.42% ( -0.17) |
| Al-Ahli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.03% ( 0.2) | 16.97% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 52.93% ( 0.35) | 47.07% ( -0.34) |
| Al Wahda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.54% ( -0.13) | 41.46% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 22.03% ( -0.12) | 77.97% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al-Ahli | Draw | Al Wahda |
| 1-0 @ 12.48% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 11.06% ( 0.05)2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.55% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 5.76% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 2.9% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 2.56% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.54% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.84% Total : 58.49% | 1-1 @ 10.98% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 7.04% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 4.29% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.82% Total : 23.13% | 0-1 @ 6.19% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.94% Total : 18.37% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Al-HilalAl-Hilal | 15 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 46 | 8 | 38 | 41 |
| 2 | Al-Nassr | 15 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 18 | 21 | 34 |
| 3 | Al-AhliAl-Ahli | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 19 | 13 | 30 |
| 4 | Al Ittihad | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 30 | 15 | 15 | 28 |
| 5 | Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 24 | 14 | 10 | 28 |
| 6 | Al Fateh | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 24 |
| 7 | Al Ettifaq | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 23 |
| 8 | Damac | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 21 |
| 9 | Al Fayha | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 19 |
| 10 | Al WahdaAl Wahda | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 19 |
| 11 | Al Tai | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 17 |
| 12 | Al ShababAl Shabab | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 16 |
| 13 | Al Riyadh | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 16 |
| 14 | Al Khaleej | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 13 |
| 15 | Al Okhdood | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 13 |
| 16 | Abha | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 17 | 37 | -20 | 13 |
| 17 | Al RaedAl Raed | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 12 |
| 18 | Al Hazem | 15 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 41 | -26 | 8 |
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