SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 38.83%. A win for Al-Ahli had a probability of 34.57% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Al-Ahli win was 0-1 (9.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Al Ittihad | Draw | Al-Ahli |
38.83% ( 0.13) | 26.59% ( 0.22) | 34.57% ( -0.35) |
| Both teams to score 52.08% ( -0.78) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.17% ( -0.96) | 52.83% ( 0.96) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.55% ( -0.83) | 74.45% ( 0.83) |
| Al Ittihad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.43% ( -0.38) | 26.56% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.22% ( -0.5) | 61.77% ( 0.5) |
| Al-Ahli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.92% ( -0.69) | 29.07% ( 0.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.01% ( -0.86) | 64.99% ( 0.86) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Ittihad | Draw | Al-Ahli |
| 1-0 @ 10.23% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 8.38% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 3.7% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.29% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 2.21% Total : 38.82% | 1-1 @ 12.64% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 7.72% ( 0.29)2-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.59% | 0-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 7.81% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 5.89% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.56% Total : 34.57% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Al-HilalAl-Hilal | 14 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 43 | 8 | 35 | 38 |
| 2 | Al-Nassr | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 39 | 15 | 24 | 34 |
| 3 | Al-AhliAl-Ahli | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 27 |
| 4 | Al Ittihad | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 25 |
| 5 | Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 25 |
| 6 | Al Fateh | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 24 |
| 7 | Al Ettifaq | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 23 |
| 8 | Al Fayha | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 19 |
| 9 | Al WahdaAl Wahda | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 19 |
| 10 | Damac | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 18 |
| 11 | Al ShababAl Shabab | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 16 |
| 12 | Al Riyadh | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 15 |
| 13 | Al Tai | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 14 |
| 14 | Al Khaleej | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 13 |
| 15 | Abha | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 13 |
| 16 | Al Okhdood | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 23 | -13 | 10 |
| 17 | Al RaedAl Raed | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 9 |
| 18 | Al Hazem | 14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 41 | -26 | 7 |
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