Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ural Yekaterinburg win with a probability of 36.38%. A win for Arsenal Tula has a probability of 35.13% and a draw has a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline was Ural Yekaterinburg 1-1 Arsenal Tula with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines were 1-0 (11.76%), 0-1 (11.51%), 0-0 (10.19%). The actual score line of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8%.