Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 60.65%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Ural Yekaterinburg had a probability of 17.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.81%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.37%), while for a Ural Yekaterinburg win it was 0-1 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Spartak Moscow in this match.
