MX23RW : Saturday, April 1 22:32:57
SM
Newcastle vs. Man Utd: 16 hrs 57 mins
Aug 14, 2020 at 6pm UK at Otkrytiye Arena
Spartak Moscow
2 - 0
Akhmat Grozny
Larsson (52' pen.), Ponce (69')
Kral (40'), Zobnin (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Berisha (2'), Shvets (26'), Kharin (38'), Silva (40'), Semenov (50'), Nenakhov (68'), Bogosavac (72'), Roshi (90+5')
Nenakhov (77')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Spartak Moscow and Akhmat Grozny.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 48.71%. A win for Akhmat Grozny had a probability of 26.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest Akhmat Grozny win was 0-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spartak Moscow would win this match.

Result
Spartak MoscowDrawAkhmat Grozny
48.71%25.27%26.02%
Both teams to score 51.95%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.99%51.01%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.12%72.88%
Spartak Moscow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.04%20.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.29%53.71%
Akhmat Grozny Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.72%34.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.02%70.98%
Score Analysis
    Spartak Moscow 48.71%
    Akhmat Grozny 26.02%
    Draw 25.27%
Spartak MoscowDrawAkhmat Grozny
1-0 @ 11.22%
2-1 @ 9.39%
2-0 @ 8.77%
3-1 @ 4.89%
3-0 @ 4.57%
3-2 @ 2.62%
4-1 @ 1.91%
4-0 @ 1.79%
4-2 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 48.71%
1-1 @ 12.02%
0-0 @ 7.19%
2-2 @ 5.03%
3-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.27%
0-1 @ 7.69%
1-2 @ 6.43%
0-2 @ 4.12%
1-3 @ 2.3%
2-3 @ 1.79%
0-3 @ 1.47%
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 26.02%

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Russian Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Zenit St PetersburgZenit21163255104551
2Spartak Moscow21125445242141
3RostovRostov2012533627941
4CSKA MoscowCSKA20105535201535
5Dynamo Moscow21105636261035
6Akhmat GroznyAkhmat Grozny2110383129233
7OrenburgOrenburg2010194040031
8Sochi219483139-831
9FC KrasnodarKrasnodar208573835329
10Lokomotiv MoscowLokomotiv2174103137-625
11Ural YekaterinburgUral2174102433-925
12Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov2055102031-1120
13Nizhny Novgorod2154122341-1819
14Fakel2021172737-1017
15KhimkiKhimki2034131941-2213
16Torpedo Moskva2024141233-2110
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