Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 55.41%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Akhmat Grozny had a probability of 21.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.84%) and 0-2 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.95%), while for an Akhmat Grozny win it was 1-0 (6.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.
