SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 54.86%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Sochi had a probability of 21.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.88%) and 1-2 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%), while for a Sochi win it was 1-0 (6.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sochi | Draw | Zenit St Petersburg |
21.44% ( 0) | 23.69% ( -0) | 54.86% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 51.69% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.17% ( 0.01) | 48.82% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.07% ( 0.01) | 70.92% ( -0.01) |
| Sochi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.79% ( 0.01) | 37.2% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.01% ( 0.01) | 73.99% ( -0.01) |
| Zenit St Petersburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.33% ( 0) | 17.67% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 51.7% ( 0) | 48.3% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sochi | Draw | Zenit St Petersburg |
| 1-0 @ 6.5% 2-1 @ 5.57% ( 0)2-0 @ 3.21% 3-1 @ 1.84% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.59% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.67% Total : 21.44% | 1-1 @ 11.26% 0-0 @ 6.57% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.83% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.69% | 0-1 @ 11.39% 0-2 @ 9.88% ( -0)1-2 @ 9.76% 0-3 @ 5.71% ( -0)1-3 @ 5.64% 2-3 @ 2.79% ( 0)0-4 @ 2.47% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.45% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.21% ( 0)Other @ 3.57% Total : 54.86% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Zenit St PetersburgZenit | 29 | 20 | 7 | 2 | 73 | 20 | 53 | 67 |
| 2 | CSKA MoscowCSKA | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 52 | 26 | 26 | 55 |
| 3 | Spartak Moscow | 29 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 54 |
| 4 | RostovRostov | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 47 | 40 | 7 | 53 |
| 5 | Akhmat GroznyAkhmat Grozny | 29 | 15 | 4 | 10 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 49 |
| 6 | FC KrasnodarKrasnodar | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 60 | 44 | 16 | 47 |
| 7 | Dynamo Moscow | 29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | 49 | 42 | 7 | 45 |
| 8 | OrenburgOrenburg | 29 | 13 | 4 | 12 | 55 | 55 | 0 | 43 |
| 9 | Lokomotiv MoscowLokomotiv | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 51 | 45 | 6 | 42 |
| 10 | Sochi | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 38 |
| 11 | Ural YekaterinburgUral | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 33 |
| 12 | Fakel | 29 | 6 | 12 | 11 | 36 | 47 | -11 | 30 |
| 13 | Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 29 |
| 14 | Nizhny Novgorod | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 31 | 50 | -19 | 27 |
| 15 | KhimkiKhimki | 29 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 25 | 65 | -40 | 18 |
| 16 | Torpedo Moskva | 29 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 21 | 58 | -37 | 13 |
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