SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rostov win with a probability of 43.22%. A win for Dynamo Moscow had a probability of 32.97% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rostov win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.68%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Dynamo Moscow win was 1-2 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rostov | Draw | Dynamo Moscow |
43.22% ( 0) | 23.81% ( 0.02) | 32.97% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 61.22% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.19% ( -0.09) | 40.8% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.81% ( -0.09) | 63.19% ( 0.09) |
| Rostov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.83% ( -0.03) | 19.16% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.17% ( -0.06) | 50.82% ( 0.06) |
| Dynamo Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.73% ( -0.05) | 24.26% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.37% ( -0.08) | 58.62% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rostov | Draw | Dynamo Moscow |
| 2-1 @ 8.99% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.68% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.35% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.95% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.5% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.04% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.44% Other @ 3.32% Total : 43.22% | 1-1 @ 10.87% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.36% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.8% | 1-2 @ 7.7% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.58% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.66% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.64% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.2% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.29% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.06% ( -0)Other @ 2.82% Total : 32.97% |
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