SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a U Craiova 1948 win with a probability of 40.1%. A win for SSC Farul had a probability of 34.9% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a U Craiova 1948 win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.6%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest SSC Farul win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that U Craiova 1948 would win this match.
| Result | ||
| U Craiova 1948 | Draw | SSC Farul |
40.1% ( 1.81) | 24.99% ( -0.31) | 34.9% ( -1.5) |
| Both teams to score 57.54% ( 0.89) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.16% ( 1.24) | 45.83% ( -1.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.85% ( 1.16) | 68.15% ( -1.16) |
| U Craiova 1948 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.26% ( 1.48) | 22.73% ( -1.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.59% ( 2.14) | 56.41% ( -2.14) |
| SSC Farul Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.48% ( -0.27) | 25.52% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.62% ( -0.38) | 60.37% ( 0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| U Craiova 1948 | Draw | SSC Farul |
| 2-1 @ 8.69% ( 0.23) 1-0 @ 8.6% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 6.37% ( 0.22)3-1 @ 4.29% ( 0.29)3-0 @ 3.14% ( 0.24)3-2 @ 2.93% ( 0.18)4-1 @ 1.59% ( 0.17)4-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.13)4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.11)Other @ 2.25% Total : 40.1% | 1-1 @ 11.73% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( 0.11)0-0 @ 5.8% ( -0.31)3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.99% | 1-2 @ 8.02% ( -0.2) 0-1 @ 7.92% ( -0.49)0-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.38)1-3 @ 3.65% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.19)1-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 2.57% Total : 34.9% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FCSB | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 27 | 13 | 14 | 31 |
| 2 | CFR Cluj | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 25 | 12 | 13 | 27 |
| 3 | Rapid Bucuresti | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 23 |
| 4 | Universitatea CraiovaU Craiova | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 13 | 7 | 22 |
| 5 | HermannstadtHermannstadt | 14 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 20 |
| 6 | Petrolul 52 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 20 |
| 7 | SSC Farul | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
| 8 | Sepsi | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 18 |
| 9 | Otelul | 14 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 16 |
| 10 | Universitatea Cluj | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 16 |
| 11 | CSM Iasi | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 16 |
| 12 | U Craiova 1948 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 14 |
| 13 | Voluntari | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 13 |
| 14 | UTA Arad | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 12 |
| 15 | Dinamo Bucharest | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 24 | -16 | 10 |
| 16 | Botosani | 13 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 6 |
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