SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slaven Koprivnica win with a probability of 38.53%. A win for NK Lokomotiva had a probability of 36.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slaven Koprivnica win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest NK Lokomotiva win was 0-1 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Slaven Koprivnica would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Slaven Koprivnica | Draw | NK Lokomotiva |
38.53% ( 0.15) | 25.34% ( -0.01) | 36.13% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 56.49% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.73% ( 0.03) | 47.27% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.5% ( 0.03) | 69.49% ( -0.03) |
| Slaven Koprivnica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.82% ( 0.09) | 24.18% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.49% ( 0.13) | 58.5% ( -0.13) |
| NK Lokomotiva Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.51% ( -0.07) | 25.49% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.66% ( -0.09) | 60.33% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Slaven Koprivnica | Draw | NK Lokomotiva |
| 1-0 @ 8.75% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.49% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.21% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.02% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.94% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.93% Total : 38.53% | 1-1 @ 11.96% 0-0 @ 6.16% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.8% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.34% | 0-1 @ 8.42% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.17% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.76% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.72% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.64% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.9% ( -0)Other @ 2.6% Total : 36.13% |
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