SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osijek win with a probability of 47.8%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for NK Varazdin had a probability of 25.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osijek win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.4%) and 2-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.61%), while for a NK Varazdin win it was 0-1 (8.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Osijek | Draw | NK Varazdin |
47.8% ( -0.06) | 26.91% ( 0.1) | 25.29% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 46.56% ( -0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.28% ( -0.37) | 57.72% ( 0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.53% ( -0.29) | 78.47% ( 0.3) |
| Osijek Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.8% ( -0.19) | 24.2% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.46% ( -0.27) | 58.54% ( 0.27) |
| NK Varazdin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.43% ( -0.24) | 38.57% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.68% ( -0.23) | 75.32% ( 0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Osijek | Draw | NK Varazdin |
| 1-0 @ 13.24% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 9.4% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 8.95% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 4.44% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.23% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.58% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.44% Total : 47.79% | 1-1 @ 12.61% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.34% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.7% Total : 26.91% | 0-1 @ 8.89% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 6.01% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.24% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.54% Total : 25.29% |
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