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Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 21
Feb 8, 2025 at 4.30pm UK
Stadion Poljud

Hajduk Split
1 - 0
Varazdin

Livaja (9' pen.)
Prpic (11'), Kalik (61'), Diallo (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Tepsic (59')
Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between Hajduk Split and NK Varazdin.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: NK Lokomotiva 3-2 Hajduk Split
Sunday, February 2 at 11.50am in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Varazdin 1-0 Rijeka
Saturday, February 1 at 4.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hajduk Split win with a probability of 56.66%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for NK Varazdin had a probability of 18.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hajduk Split win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.99%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for a NK Varazdin win it was 0-1 (7.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hajduk Split in this match.

Result
Hajduk SplitDrawNK Varazdin
56.66% (0.256 0.26) 25.3% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09) 18.03% (-0.163 -0.16)
Both teams to score 42.14% (-0.029999999999994 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.17% (0.11 0.11)58.83% (-0.111 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.66% (0.084 0.08)79.34% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Hajduk Split Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.18% (0.14700000000001 0.15)20.82% (-0.147 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.51% (0.231 0.23)53.49% (-0.231 -0.23)
NK Varazdin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.22% (-0.136 -0.14)46.78% (0.136 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.68% (-0.104 -0.1)82.32% (0.104 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Hajduk Split 56.66%
    NK Varazdin 18.03%
    Draw 25.3%
Hajduk SplitDrawNK Varazdin
1-0 @ 15.28% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 11.99% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.11% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.28% (0.059 0.06)
3-1 @ 4.77% (0.027 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.46% (0.034 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.87% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.81% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 56.66%
1-1 @ 11.61% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 9.74% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-2 @ 3.46% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 25.3%
0-1 @ 7.4% (-0.059 -0.06)
1-2 @ 4.41% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.81% (-0.033 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.12% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 18.03%

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Form Guide
Last Game: NK Lokomotiva 3-2 Hajduk Split
Sunday, February 2 at 11.50am in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Hajduk Split 0-0 Slaven Koprivnica
Sunday, January 26 at 4.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Sibenik 1-2 Hajduk Split
Sunday, December 22 at 4.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Hajduk Split 2-2 Rijeka
Sunday, December 15 at 4.45pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Gorica 1-0 Hajduk Split
Saturday, December 7 at 4.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Hajduk Split 1-0 Dinamo Zagreb
Sunday, December 1 at 4.45pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Varazdin 1-0 Rijeka
Saturday, February 1 at 4.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Gorica 1-1 Varazdin
Saturday, January 25 at 2pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Dinamo Zagreb 3-2 Varazdin
Sunday, December 22 at 12pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Varazdin 0-0 Osijek
Sunday, December 15 at 2pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Istra 1961 0-0 Varazdin
Saturday, December 7 at 2pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Varazdin 2-1 Sibenik
Friday, November 29 at 5pm in Croatian 1. HNL


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