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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 23
Feb 25, 2024 at 12am UK
Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
CP
Guimaraes
vs.
Casa Pia
 
Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Casa Pia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Guimaraes 2-2 Benfica
Sunday, February 11 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Next Game: Portimonense vs. Guimaraes
Saturday, February 17 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Rio Ave 1-0 Casa Pia
Sunday, February 11 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Next Game: Casa Pia vs. Arouca
Sunday, February 18 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 75.16%. A draw has a probability of 16.3% and a win for Casa Pia has a probability of 8.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win is 2-0 with a probability of 14.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (12.18%) and 3-0 (10.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (7.72%), while for a Casa Pia win it is 0-1 (3.34%).

Result
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawCasa Pia
75.16% (3.633 3.63) 16.32% (-1.966 -1.97) 8.51% (-1.6741 -1.67)
Both teams to score 42.26% (-0.31 -0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.35% (3.46 3.46)43.64% (-3.467 -3.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.96% (3.307 3.31)66.03% (-3.314 -3.31)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.04% (1.888 1.89)9.95% (-1.895 -1.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.09% (4.195 4.2)32.9% (-4.202 -4.2)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.92% (-1.36 -1.36)53.07% (1.353 1.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.3% (-0.883 -0.88)86.69% (0.874 0.87)
Score Analysis
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 75.14%
    Casa Pia 8.51%
    Draw 16.32%
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawCasa Pia
2-0 @ 14.05% (0.12 0.12)
1-0 @ 12.18% (-0.88 -0.88)
3-0 @ 10.81% (0.897 0.9)
2-1 @ 8.91% (-0.284 -0.28)
3-1 @ 6.85% (0.315 0.32)
4-0 @ 6.24% (0.952 0.95)
4-1 @ 3.95% (0.467 0.47)
5-0 @ 2.88% (0.624 0.62)
3-2 @ 2.17% (0.015 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.83% (0.337 0.34)
4-2 @ 1.25% (0.103 0.1)
6-0 @ 1.11% (0.306 0.31)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 75.14%
1-1 @ 7.72% (-0.896 -0.9)
0-0 @ 5.28% (-0.845 -0.85)
2-2 @ 2.82% (-0.209 -0.21)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 16.32%
0-1 @ 3.34% (-0.694 -0.69)
1-2 @ 2.45% (-0.396 -0.4)
0-2 @ 1.06% (-0.271 -0.27)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 8.51%

Form Guide
Last Game: Guimaraes 2-2 Benfica
Sunday, February 11 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Guimaraes 3-1 Gil Vicente
Thursday, February 8 at 6.45pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Vizela 0-1 Guimaraes
Sunday, February 4 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Gil Vicente 1-0 Guimaraes
Sunday, January 28 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Guimaraes 3-0 Estrela Amadora
Sunday, January 21 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Guimaraes 2-1 Arouca
Monday, January 15 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Rio Ave 1-0 Casa Pia
Sunday, February 11 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Casa Pia 0-0 Boavista
Monday, February 5 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 8-0 Casa Pia
Monday, January 29 at 8.45pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Casa Pia 1-3 Farense
Saturday, January 20 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Casa Pia 0-2 Famalicao
Saturday, January 13 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Moreirense 1-4 Casa Pia
Monday, January 8 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

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