SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 42.37%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 29.37% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (8.28%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 1-0 (10.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-0 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Casa Pia | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
29.37% ( 0.13) | 28.26% ( 0.03) | 42.37% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 45.52% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.64% ( -0.05) | 60.36% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.49% ( -0.03) | 80.51% ( 0.04) |
| Casa Pia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.37% ( 0.07) | 36.63% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.58% ( 0.07) | 73.42% ( -0.07) |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.83% ( -0.1) | 28.17% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.15% ( -0.13) | 63.85% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Casa Pia | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
| 1-0 @ 10.36% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 6.59% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 2.21% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.74% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.4% ( 0)Other @ 1.86% Total : 29.37% | 1-1 @ 13.12% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.31% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.18% ( -0)Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.25% | 0-1 @ 13.07% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.32% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 8.28% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.51% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.71% Total : 42.37% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 27 | 23 | 2 | 2 | 68 | 16 | 52 | 71 |
| 2 | Porto | 27 | 20 | 4 | 3 | 58 | 18 | 40 | 64 |
| 3 | Braga | 27 | 20 | 2 | 5 | 60 | 24 | 36 | 62 |
| 4 | Sporting Lisbon | 27 | 18 | 3 | 6 | 56 | 26 | 30 | 57 |
| 5 | AroucaArouca | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 44 |
| 6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 41 |
| 7 | Vizela | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 31 | 28 | 3 | 38 |
| 8 | Casa Pia | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 38 |
| 9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 27 | 11 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 36 |
| 10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 34 |
| 11 | BoavistaBoavista | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 33 |
| 12 | ChavesChaves | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 32 |
| 13 | Gil Vicente | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 30 |
| 14 | PortimonensePortimonense | 27 | 8 | 3 | 16 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 27 |
| 15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 27 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 23 | 43 | -20 | 25 |
| 16 | Maritimo | 27 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 21 | 50 | -29 | 19 |
| 17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 27 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 20 | 46 | -26 | 17 |
| 18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 27 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 17 | 42 | -25 | 15 |
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