SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 72.64%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 10.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.74%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.85%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 0-1 (3.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Gil Vicente |
72.64% ( -0.12) | 16.63% ( 0.28) | 10.73% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 50.32% ( -1.72) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.09% ( -1.9) | 37.91% ( 1.89) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.83% ( -2.05) | 60.17% ( 2.05) |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.91% ( -0.5) | 9.1% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 69.1% ( -1.21) | 30.9% ( 1.21) |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.35% ( -1.58) | 44.65% ( 1.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 19.35% ( -1.3) | 80.65% ( 1.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Gil Vicente |
| 2-0 @ 11.67% ( 0.53) 1-0 @ 9.74% ( 0.65)2-1 @ 9.41% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 9.33% ( 0.21)3-1 @ 7.52% ( -0.16)4-0 @ 5.59% ( -0)4-1 @ 4.51% ( -0.21)3-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.2)5-0 @ 2.68% ( -0.07)5-1 @ 2.16% ( -0.15)4-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.17)6-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.05)Other @ 4.12% Total : 72.64% | 1-1 @ 7.85% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 4.06% ( 0.36)2-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.16)Other @ 0.92% Total : 16.63% | 0-1 @ 3.27% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.09)Other @ 1.95% Total : 10.73% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sporting Lisbon | 17 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 40 | 17 | 23 | 43 |
| 2 | Benfica | 17 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 35 | 11 | 24 | 42 |
| 3 | Porto | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 12 | 13 | 38 |
| 4 | Braga | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 40 | 25 | 15 | 33 |
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 33 |
| 6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 18 | 6 | 29 |
| 7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 22 |
| 8 | SC FarenseFarense | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
| 9 | BoavistaBoavista | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 20 |
| 10 | Casa Pia | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 19 |
| 11 | Estrela Amadora | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 18 |
| 12 | PortimonensePortimonense | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 36 | -18 | 18 |
| 13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 17 |
| 14 | AroucaArouca | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 16 |
| 15 | Gil Vicente | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 16 |
| 16 | Rio AveRio Ave | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 15 |
| 17 | Vizela | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 13 |
| 18 | ChavesChaves | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 18 | 44 | -26 | 11 |
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