SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AVS win with a probability of 40.21%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 32.36% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an AVS win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 1-0 (10.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for AVS in this match.
| Result | ||
| SC Farense | Draw | AVS |
32.36% ( 0.01) | 27.43% ( 0.12) | 40.21% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 49.01% ( -0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.49% ( -0.46) | 56.51% ( 0.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.5% ( -0.38) | 77.5% ( 0.37) |
| SC Farense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.62% ( -0.23) | 32.38% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.11% ( -0.26) | 68.89% ( 0.25) |
| AVS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.48% ( -0.3) | 27.52% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.97% ( -0.38) | 63.03% ( 0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| SC Farense | Draw | AVS |
| 1-0 @ 10.04% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 7.31% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 5.67% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 2.75% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.13% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.68% Total : 32.35% | 1-1 @ 12.96% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.91% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.42% | 0-1 @ 11.49% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 8.36% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 7.42% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.6% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.93% Total : 40.2% |
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