Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 45.45%. A draw had a probability of 29.5% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 25.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.62%) and 2-1 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.01%), while for a Nacional win it was 0-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santa Clara would win this match.
