SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 36.91%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 36.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (6.26%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 1-0 (9.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Moreirense | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
36.81% ( -0.06) | 26.28% ( 0.01) | 36.91% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 53.28% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.62% ( -0.06) | 51.38% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.8% ( -0.05) | 73.2% ( 0.05) |
| Moreirense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.97% ( -0.07) | 27.03% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.6% ( -0.09) | 62.4% ( 0.08) |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.03% ( -0) | 26.97% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.69% | 62.31% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Moreirense | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
| 1-0 @ 9.54% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.17% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.24% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.56% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.72% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.07% Total : 36.81% | 1-1 @ 12.49% 0-0 @ 7.29% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.27% | 0-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.19% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.26% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.58% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.34% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0)Other @ 3.09% Total : 36.91% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sporting Lisbon | 16 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 37 | 17 | 20 | 40 |
| 2 | Benfica | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 31 | 10 | 21 | 39 |
| 3 | Porto | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 35 |
| 4 | Braga | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 40 | 23 | 17 | 33 |
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 30 |
| 6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 13 | 7 | 26 |
| 7 | SC FarenseFarense | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 21 |
| 8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 19 |
| 9 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 17 |
| 10 | Estrela Amadora | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 17 |
| 11 | BoavistaBoavista | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 17 |
| 12 | AroucaArouca | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 16 |
| 13 | Casa Pia | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 16 |
| 14 | Gil Vicente | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 15 |
| 15 | Rio AveRio Ave | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 15 |
| 16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 15 |
| 17 | Vizela | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 13 |
| 18 | ChavesChaves | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 11 |
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