Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 40.47%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 31.59% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (7.66%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 1-0 (10.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
