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M
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 16
Dec 28, 2021 at 9pm UK
Parque Joaquim Almeida Freitas
E
Moreirense
1 - 0
Estoril
Martins (28')
Soares (47'), Yan (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Carneiro Dias Resende Bruno (21'), Patrick (63'), Arthur (78'), Geraldes (87')

We said: Moreirense 1-2 Estoril Praia

Moreirense have lost each of their last three games and while they will be aiming to end this dry spell, next up is an Estoril Praia side who have been impressive on the road this term. Despite their cup exit, the visitors head into the game as the more in-form side and we are backing them to pick up the win in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 45.43%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 28.29% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (8.34%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 1-0 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result
MoreirenseDrawEstoril Praia
28.29%26.28%45.43%
Both teams to score 50.58%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.38%53.62%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.88%75.12%
Moreirense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.15%33.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.48%70.52%
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.47%23.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.42%57.58%
Score Analysis
    Moreirense 28.29%
    Estoril Praia 45.42%
    Draw 26.28%
MoreirenseDrawEstoril Praia
1-0 @ 8.63%
2-1 @ 6.76%
2-0 @ 4.67%
3-1 @ 2.44%
3-2 @ 1.77%
3-0 @ 1.69%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 28.29%
1-1 @ 12.48%
0-0 @ 7.97%
2-2 @ 4.89%
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 26.28%
0-1 @ 11.52%
1-2 @ 9.03%
0-2 @ 8.34%
1-3 @ 4.36%
0-3 @ 4.02%
2-3 @ 2.36%
1-4 @ 1.58%
0-4 @ 1.45%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 45.42%

Read more!
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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon17141240172343
2Benfica16123131102139
3Porto16112323121135
4Braga16103340231733
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes169342618830
6MoreirenseMoreirense178542418629
7FamalicaoFamalicao175751720-322
8SC FarenseFarense176382323021
9Casa Pia175481823-519
10PortimonensePortimonense175391836-1818
11Estoril PraiaEstoril1752103132-117
12Estrela Amadora164571723-617
13BoavistaBoavista164572230-817
14AroucaArouca164482223-116
15Gil Vicente164392630-415
16Rio AveRio Ave163671824-615
17Vizela162771523-813
18ChavesChaves1732121844-2611
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