Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 55.19%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 20.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.74%) and 1-2 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for a Famalicao win it was 1-0 (7.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match.
