Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Arouca win with a probability of 43.9%. A win for Chaves has a probability of 30.72% and a draw has a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Chaves win is 1-0 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.03%).