Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 42.09%. A draw had a probability of 31.4% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 26.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.99%) and 2-1 (7.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.04%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 0-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boavista would win this match.
