SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 49.07%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 27.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 1-2 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle United | Draw | Manchester United |
49.07% ( -0.01) | 23.35% ( 0.01) | 27.57% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 59.6% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.46% ( -0.03) | 41.53% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.06% ( -0.03) | 63.93% ( 0.03) |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.89% ( -0.02) | 17.11% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.68% ( -0.03) | 47.31% ( 0.03) |
| Manchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.9% ( -0.01) | 28.09% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.23% ( -0.01) | 63.76% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newcastle United | Draw | Manchester United |
| 2-1 @ 9.51% 1-0 @ 8.49% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.49% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.6% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.41% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.55% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.47% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.95% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.57% ( -0)Other @ 4.03% Total : 49.07% | 1-1 @ 10.77% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.04% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.81% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.5% ( -0)Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.35% | 1-2 @ 6.84% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.1% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.87% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.89% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.56% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.64% ( 0)1-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.75% Total : 27.57% |
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.JPG?w=300&h=225&auto=compress,format&fit=fillmax&fill=blur "Man United boss Erik ten Hag plays down Anthony Martial row")
