SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 41.32%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 35.17% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.98%) and 0-2 (5.78%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 2-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leeds United | Draw | Tottenham Hotspur |
35.17% ( -0.34) | 23.51% ( 0.05) | 41.32% ( 0.28) |
| Both teams to score 63.02% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.28% ( -0.32) | 38.72% ( 0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.97% ( -0.34) | 61.03% ( 0.34) |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.93% ( -0.32) | 22.07% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.58% ( -0.49) | 55.42% ( 0.48) |
| Tottenham Hotspur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.87% ( -0.01) | 19.12% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.24% ( -0.02) | 50.76% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leeds United | Draw | Tottenham Hotspur |
| 2-1 @ 7.97% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 6.38% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 4.82% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.01% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 2.43% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.56% Total : 35.17% | 1-1 @ 10.54% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.59% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.5% | 1-2 @ 8.73% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 6.98% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 5.78% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 4.81% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.64% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.18% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.99% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.39% Total : 41.32% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 94 | 33 | 61 | 89 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 88 | 43 | 45 | 84 |
| 3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 58 | 43 | 15 | 75 |
| 4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 68 | 33 | 35 | 71 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 75 | 47 | 28 | 67 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 72 | 53 | 19 | 62 |
| 7 | Aston Villa | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 61 |
| 8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 70 | 63 | 7 | 60 |
| 9 | Brentford | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 59 |
| 10 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 55 | 53 | 2 | 52 |
| 11 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 45 |
| 12 | Chelsea | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 44 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 58 | -27 | 41 |
| 14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 40 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 37 | 71 | -34 | 39 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 68 | -30 | 38 |
| 17 | Everton | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 34 | 57 | -23 | 36 |
| R | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 51 | 68 | -17 | 34 |
| R | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 48 | 78 | -30 | 31 |
| R | Southampton | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 36 | 73 | -37 | 25 |
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