SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 52.66%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 25.32% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.62%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 2-1 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leeds United | Draw | Liverpool |
25.32% ( 3.63) | 22.02% ( 1.39) | 52.66% ( -5.02) |
| Both teams to score 62.22% ( -0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.86% ( -2.53) | 37.14% ( 2.53) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.66% ( -2.79) | 59.33% ( 2.79) |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.57% ( 1.51) | 27.42% ( -1.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.1% ( 1.91) | 62.9% ( -1.9) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.74% ( -2.35) | 14.26% ( 2.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 57.96% ( -4.77) | 42.04% ( 4.77) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leeds United | Draw | Liverpool |
| 2-1 @ 6.38% ( 0.73) 1-0 @ 5.06% ( 0.78)2-0 @ 3.27% ( 0.62)3-1 @ 2.75% ( 0.42)3-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.2)3-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.32)Other @ 3.77% Total : 25.32% | 1-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.76) 2-2 @ 6.21% ( 0.21)0-0 @ 3.91% ( 0.46)3-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.3% Total : 22.02% | 1-2 @ 9.6% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 7.62% ( 0.29)0-2 @ 7.42% ( -0.38)1-3 @ 6.23% ( -0.63)0-3 @ 4.82% ( -0.72)2-3 @ 4.03% ( -0.22)1-4 @ 3.03% ( -0.62)0-4 @ 2.35% ( -0.6)2-4 @ 1.96% ( -0.3)1-5 @ 1.18% ( -0.37)0-5 @ 0.91% ( -0.34)Other @ 3.52% Total : 52.66% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 94 | 33 | 61 | 89 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 88 | 43 | 45 | 84 |
| 3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 58 | 43 | 15 | 75 |
| 4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 68 | 33 | 35 | 71 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 75 | 47 | 28 | 67 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 72 | 53 | 19 | 62 |
| 7 | Aston Villa | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 61 |
| 8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 70 | 63 | 7 | 60 |
| 9 | Brentford | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 59 |
| 10 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 55 | 53 | 2 | 52 |
| 11 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 45 |
| 12 | Chelsea | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 44 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 58 | -27 | 41 |
| 14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 40 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 37 | 71 | -34 | 39 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 68 | -30 | 38 |
| 17 | Everton | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 34 | 57 | -23 | 36 |
| R | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 51 | 68 | -17 | 34 |
| R | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 48 | 78 | -30 | 31 |
| R | Southampton | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 36 | 73 | -37 | 25 |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
