SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 43.43%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 31.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fulham | Draw | Crystal Palace |
43.43% ( 0.18) | 25.48% ( 0.18) | 31.09% ( -0.36) |
| Both teams to score 54.63% ( -0.77) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.93% ( -0.93) | 49.07% ( 0.93) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.85% ( -0.85) | 71.15% ( 0.84) |
| Fulham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.47% ( -0.32) | 22.53% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.9% ( -0.47) | 56.1% ( 0.47) |
| Crystal Palace Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.51% ( -0.71) | 29.48% ( 0.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.5% ( -0.88) | 65.49% ( 0.87) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fulham | Draw | Crystal Palace |
| 1-0 @ 9.9% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 9.01% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.38% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 4.48% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.67% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 1.67% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.37% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.22% Total : 43.43% | 1-1 @ 12.09% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 6.64% ( 0.25)2-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.48% | 0-1 @ 8.11% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 7.38% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.46% Total : 31.09% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 94 | 33 | 61 | 89 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 88 | 43 | 45 | 84 |
| 3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 58 | 43 | 15 | 75 |
| 4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 68 | 33 | 35 | 71 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 75 | 47 | 28 | 67 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 72 | 53 | 19 | 62 |
| 7 | Aston Villa | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 61 |
| 8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 70 | 63 | 7 | 60 |
| 9 | Brentford | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 59 |
| 10 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 55 | 53 | 2 | 52 |
| 11 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 45 |
| 12 | Chelsea | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 44 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 58 | -27 | 41 |
| 14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 40 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 37 | 71 | -34 | 39 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 68 | -30 | 38 |
| 17 | Everton | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 34 | 57 | -23 | 36 |
| R | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 51 | 68 | -17 | 34 |
| R | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 48 | 78 | -30 | 31 |
| R | Southampton | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 36 | 73 | -37 | 25 |
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