Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 48.62%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 25.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 0-1 (8.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Crystal Palace would win this match.
Result | ||
Crystal Palace | Draw | Bournemouth |
48.62% ( -0.01) | 25.83% ( -0) | 25.54% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 49.83% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.42% ( 0.01) | 53.57% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.92% ( 0.01) | 75.08% ( -0.01) |
Crystal Palace Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.95% ( 0.01) | 22.05% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.61% ( 0.01) | 55.39% ( -0) |
Bournemouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.93% ( 0.01) | 36.07% ( -0.01) |