Both teams have reached a point in their season where a couple of wins here and there can keep them out of a relegation battle. With that in mind, however, avoiding defeat may be regarded as more important, leading us to predict a low-scoring draw.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 40.55%. A win for Everton had a probability of 30.85% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Everton win was 0-1 (10.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crystal Palace would win this match.
