SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest Under-21s win with a probability of 46.54%. A win for Aston Villa Under-21s had a probability of 31.88% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.74%) and 0-1 (5.39%). The likeliest Aston Villa Under-21s win was 2-1 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa Under-21s | Draw | Nottingham Forest Under-21s |
31.88% ( 1.14) | 21.57% ( -0.31) | 46.54% ( -0.83) |
| Both teams to score 69.22% ( 1.87) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.84% ( 2.17) | 30.15% ( -2.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.62% ( 2.57) | 51.38% ( -2.57) |
| Aston Villa Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.24% ( 1.68) | 19.76% ( -1.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.2% ( 2.65) | 51.8% ( -2.65) |
| Nottingham Forest Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.26% ( 0.54) | 13.73% ( -0.54) |
