SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Sunderland Under-21s | 4 | -1 | 4 |
| 9 | Stoke City Under-21s | 3 | -5 | 3 |
| 10 | Nottingham Forest Under-21s | 4 | -10 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Under-21s win with a probability of 73.81%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Stoke City Under-21s had a probability of 11.83%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (8.16%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.69%), while for a Stoke City Under-21s win it was 2-1 (3.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stoke City Under-21s | Draw | Aston Villa Under-21s |
11.83% ( -1.51) | 14.36% ( -0.95) | 73.81% ( 2.46) |
| Both teams to score 64.51% ( -0.88) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 77.3% ( 0.91) | 22.7% ( -0.91) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 58.15% ( 1.22) | 41.85% ( -1.22) |
| Stoke City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.14% ( -1.37) | 31.86% ( 1.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.7% ( -1.59) | 68.3% ( 1.6) |
| Aston Villa Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.68% ( 0.6) | 5.32% ( -0.6) |
