SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest Under-21s win with a probability of 45.47%. A win for Newcastle United Under-21s had a probability of 32.22% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.15%) and 0-2 (5.74%). The likeliest Newcastle United Under-21s win was 2-1 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle United Under-21s | Draw | Nottingham Forest Under-21s |
32.22% ( 0.16) | 22.31% ( -0.02) | 45.47% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 66.52% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
