Premier League 2 - Div 2
Mar 18, 2023 at 1pm UK
Forest U21s
3 - 1
Newcastle U21s
Larsson (5', 54'), McAdam (18')
Hammond (20'), Larsson (39'), Esapa Osong (77'),
Powell (90')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 2 clash between Nottingham Forest Under-21s and Newcastle United Under-21s.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest Under-21s win with a probability of 48.18%. A win for Newcastle United Under-21s had a probability of 29.56% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.65%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest Newcastle United Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nottingham Forest Under-21s would win this match.
| Result |
| Nottingham Forest Under-21s | Draw | Newcastle United Under-21s |
48.18% ( 0.08) | 22.26% ( -0.02) | 29.56% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 65.14% ( 0.05) |
| 65.1% ( 0.08) | 34.91% ( -0.08) |
| 43.12% ( 0.09) | 56.88% ( -0.09) |
| Nottingham Forest Under-21s Goals |
| 85.05% ( 0.06) | 14.95% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 56.63% ( 0.11) | 43.37% ( -0.11) |
| Newcastle United Under-21s Goals |
| 76.59% ( 0.01) | 23.41% ( -0.01) |
