SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham Under-21s win with a probability of 51.77%. A win for Middlesbrough Under-21s had a probability of 28.08% and a draw had a probability of 20.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.37%) and 3-2 (5.22%). The likeliest Middlesbrough Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fulham Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fulham Under-21s | Draw | Middlesbrough Under-21s |
51.77% ( -0.16) | 20.15% ( 0.08) | 28.08% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 72.11% ( -0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 74.56% ( -0.31) | 25.44% ( 0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 54.51% ( -0.4) | 45.49% ( 0.41) |
| Fulham Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.49% ( -0.14) | 10.51% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.81% ( -0.33) | 34.19% ( 0.33) |
| Middlesbrough Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.58% ( -0.12) | 19.42% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.76% ( -0.19) | 51.24% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fulham Under-21s | Draw | Middlesbrough Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 8.49% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.37% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 5.18% ( 0.04)1-0 @ 4.6% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 3.89% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.59% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 2.19% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.62% ( -0.02)4-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.03)5-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.76% Total : 51.77% | 1-1 @ 7.54% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.96% ( 0)3-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 2.04% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.77% Total : 20.15% | 1-2 @ 6.18% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 3.8% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.37% ( 0.01)0-1 @ 3.35% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 2.74% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.56% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.38% ( -0)3-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.04% Total : 28.08% |
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