SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pogon Szczecin win with a probability of 38.67%. A win for Ruch Chorzow had a probability of 36.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Szczecin win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.49%) and 0-2 (6.13%). The likeliest Ruch Chorzow win was 2-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pogon Szczecin would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ruch Chorzow | Draw | Pogon Szczecin |
36.23% ( -0.07) | 25.1% ( -0.03) | 38.67% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 57.36% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.85% ( 0.12) | 46.15% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.55% ( 0.11) | 68.45% ( -0.11) |
| Ruch Chorzow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.08% ( 0.01) | 24.92% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.46% ( 0.02) | 59.54% ( -0.02) |
| Pogon Szczecin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.4% ( 0.1) | 23.6% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.32% ( 0.15) | 57.68% ( -0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ruch Chorzow | Draw | Pogon Szczecin |
| 2-1 @ 8.2% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.17% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 5.68% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.8% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.74% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.63% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.32% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0)4-0 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 1.82% Total : 36.23% | 1-1 @ 11.79% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.88% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.09% | 1-2 @ 8.52% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.49% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.13% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.1% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.95% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.48% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.06% Total : 38.67% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Slask Wroclaw | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 36 |
| 2 | Jagiellonia BialystokJagiellonia | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 38 | 22 | 16 | 34 |
| 3 | Lech Poznan | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 22 | 8 | 32 |
| 4 | Rakow CzestochowaRakow | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 28 |
| 5 | Pogon SzczecinSzczecin | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 26 |
| 6 | Legia WarsawLegia | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 25 |
| 7 | Zaglebie Lubin | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 24 |
| 8 | Radomiak Radom | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 22 |
| 9 | Gornik ZabrzeGornik | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 22 |
| 10 | Widzew Lodz | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 22 |
| 11 | Stal Mielec | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 21 |
| 12 | Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice | 16 | 2 | 12 | 2 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 18 |
| 13 | Warta Poznan | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 18 |
| 14 | Korona Kielce | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 17 |
| 15 | KS CracoviaCracovia | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 16 |
| 16 | Puszcza Niepolomice | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 31 | -11 | 16 |
| 17 | Ruch Chorzow | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 10 |
| 18 | LKS Lodz | 16 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 34 | -23 | 8 |
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