SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 60.7%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Coleraine had a probability of 18.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.18%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.05%), while for a Coleraine win it was 0-1 (5.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Larne | Draw | Coleraine |
60.7% ( -0.73) | 21.29% ( 0.41) | 18.01% ( 0.33) |
| Both teams to score 53.75% ( -0.75) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.72% ( -1.31) | 43.28% ( 1.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.32% ( -1.31) | 65.68% ( 1.31) |
| Larne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.2% ( -0.64) | 13.8% ( 0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 58.87% ( -1.28) | 41.13% ( 1.28) |
| Coleraine Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.36% ( -0.41) | 37.64% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.58% ( -0.4) | 74.42% ( 0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Larne | Draw | Coleraine |
| 1-0 @ 10.28% ( 0.34) 2-0 @ 10.18% ( 0.11)2-1 @ 9.95% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.73% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 6.57% ( -0.16)4-0 @ 3.33% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 3.25% ( -0.16)3-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.11)4-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.1)5-0 @ 1.32% ( -0.08)5-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.99% Total : 60.69% | 1-1 @ 10.05% ( 0.23) 0-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.3)2-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.29% | 0-1 @ 5.08% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 1.6% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.36% Total : 18.01% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | LarneLarne | 20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 41 | 14 | 27 | 45 |
| 2 | LinfieldLinfield | 18 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 44 | 20 | 24 | 43 |
| 3 | CliftonvilleCliftonville | 19 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 41 |
| 4 | CrusadersCrusaders | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 35 |
| 5 | GlentoranGlentoran | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 31 |
| 6 | ColeraineColeraine | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 26 |
| 7 | GlenavonGlenavon | 20 | 7 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 23 |
| 8 | Loughgall | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 22 |
| 9 | Carrick RangersCarrick | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 26 | 48 | -22 | 21 |
| 10 | Dungannon SwiftsDungannon | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 15 |
| 11 | Ballymena UnitedBallymena | 20 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 36 | -25 | 12 |
| 12 | Newry City AFC | 20 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 17 | 49 | -32 | 12 |
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