SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 53.78%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Coleraine had a probability of 22.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%), while for a Coleraine win it was 0-1 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crusaders | Draw | Coleraine |
53.78% ( -5.6) | 23.47% ( 1.37) | 22.74% ( 4.23) |
| Both teams to score 54.12% ( 2.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.55% ( -0.44) | 46.45% ( 0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.27% ( -0.42) | 68.73% ( 0.42) |
| Crusaders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.8% ( -2.08) | 17.2% ( 2.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 52.53% ( -3.79) | 47.47% ( 3.79) |
| Coleraine Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.36% ( 4.04) | 34.64% ( -4.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.64% ( 4.05) | 71.36% ( -4.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Crusaders | Draw | Coleraine |
| 1-0 @ 10.48% ( -0.56) 2-1 @ 9.79% ( -0.13)2-0 @ 9.23% ( -1.2)3-1 @ 5.74% ( -0.5)3-0 @ 5.42% ( -1.15)3-2 @ 3.04% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 2.53% ( -0.42)4-0 @ 2.38% ( -0.72)4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.82% Total : 53.78% | 1-1 @ 11.11% ( 0.62) 0-0 @ 5.96% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 5.19% ( 0.48)3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.14)Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.47% | 0-1 @ 6.32% ( 0.76) 1-2 @ 5.89% ( 0.91)0-2 @ 3.35% ( 0.71)1-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.5)2-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.34)0-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.35)Other @ 2.09% Total : 22.75% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | LinfieldLinfield | 21 | 17 | 1 | 3 | 52 | 24 | 28 | 52 |
| 2 | LarneLarne | 22 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 45 | 14 | 31 | 51 |
| 3 | CliftonvilleCliftonville | 21 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 49 | 13 | 36 | 45 |
| 4 | GlentoranGlentoran | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 39 | 21 | 18 | 35 |
| 5 | CrusadersCrusaders | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 22 | 15 | 35 |
| 6 | ColeraineColeraine | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 29 |
| 7 | Carrick RangersCarrick | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 27 |
| 8 | GlenavonGlenavon | 21 | 7 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 39 | -16 | 23 |
| 9 | Loughgall | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 33 | 45 | -12 | 22 |
| 10 | Dungannon SwiftsDungannon | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 18 |
| 11 | Ballymena UnitedBallymena | 21 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 11 | 38 | -27 | 12 |
| 12 | Newry City AFC | 22 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 17 | 51 | -34 | 12 |
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