SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coleraine win with a probability of 42.11%. A win for Cliftonville had a probability of 32.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coleraine win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Cliftonville win was 0-1 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Coleraine | Draw | Cliftonville |
42.11% ( -0.01) | 25.7% ( 0.01) | 32.2% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 54.39% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.4% ( -0.02) | 49.59% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.38% ( -0.02) | 71.62% ( 0.02) |
| Coleraine Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.61% ( -0.02) | 23.39% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.62% ( -0.02) | 57.37% ( 0.02) |
| Cliftonville Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.99% ( -0.01) | 29% ( 0.01) |
