Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coleraine win with a probability of 81.47%. A draw had a probability of 12.3% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 6.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coleraine win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.39%) and 1-0 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.81%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 0-1 (2.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Coleraine would win this match.
