SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 42.11%. A win for Cliftonville had a probability of 32.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Cliftonville win was 1-0 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cliftonville | Draw | Larne |
32.14% ( -0) | 25.76% ( -0.01) | 42.11% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 54.17% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.13% ( 0.03) | 49.87% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.14% ( 0.03) | 71.86% ( -0.03) |
| Cliftonville Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.82% ( 0.01) | 29.18% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.88% ( 0.02) | 65.12% ( -0.02) |
| Larne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.49% ( 0.02) | 23.51% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.45% ( 0.03) | 57.55% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cliftonville | Draw | Larne |
| 1-0 @ 8.45% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.53% 2-0 @ 5.2% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.09% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.24% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.14% 4-1 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 2.53% Total : 32.14% | 1-1 @ 12.23% 0-0 @ 6.86% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.45% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.75% | 0-1 @ 9.93% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.86% ( 0)0-2 @ 7.19% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.27% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.47% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.63% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.55% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.26% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 2% Total : 42.11% |
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