SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 38.38%. A win for Cliftonville had a probability of 32.62% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.76%) and 0-2 (7.41%). The likeliest Cliftonville win was 1-0 (11.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cliftonville | Draw | Larne |
32.62% ( -0.53) | 29% ( 0.1) | 38.38% ( 0.43) |
| Both teams to score 44.59% ( -0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.96% ( -0.41) | 62.04% ( 0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.23% ( -0.31) | 81.76% ( 0.3) |
| Cliftonville Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.9% ( -0.59) | 35.1% ( 0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.15% ( -0.63) | 71.85% ( 0.63) |
| Larne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.7% ( 0.05) | 31.29% ( -0.05) |
