Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carrick Rangers win with a probability of 57.57%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Portadown had a probability of 21.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carrick Rangers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.64%) and 1-0 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.79%), while for a Portadown win it was 1-2 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
