SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carrick Rangers win with a probability of 37.64%. A win for Ballymena United had a probability of 36.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carrick Rangers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (6.41%). The likeliest Ballymena United win was 1-0 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carrick Rangers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ballymena United | Draw | Carrick Rangers |
36.08% ( 0.06) | 26.28% ( 0.07) | 37.64% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 53.27% ( -0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.61% ( -0.28) | 51.39% ( 0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.79% ( -0.25) | 73.21% ( 0.25) |
| Ballymena United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.53% ( -0.1) | 27.46% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.04% ( -0.13) | 62.96% ( 0.13) |
| Carrick Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.44% ( -0.2) | 26.56% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.23% ( -0.27) | 61.77% ( 0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ballymena United | Draw | Carrick Rangers |
| 1-0 @ 9.43% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 8.08% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.48% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.62% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.95% Total : 36.08% | 1-1 @ 12.49% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.29% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.27% | 0-1 @ 9.67% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 8.29% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.41% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.66% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.26% Total : 37.64% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | LinfieldLinfield | 25 | 20 | 2 | 3 | 58 | 26 | 32 | 62 |
| 2 | LarneLarne | 25 | 17 | 7 | 1 | 50 | 16 | 34 | 58 |
| 3 | CliftonvilleCliftonville | 24 | 17 | 3 | 4 | 55 | 15 | 40 | 54 |
| 4 | GlentoranGlentoran | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 47 | 24 | 23 | 41 |
| 5 | CrusadersCrusaders | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 43 | 28 | 15 | 41 |
| 6 | GlenavonGlenavon | 25 | 9 | 2 | 14 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 29 |
| 7 | ColeraineColeraine | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 29 |
| 8 | Loughgall | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 28 |
| 9 | Carrick RangersCarrick | 25 | 8 | 3 | 14 | 30 | 54 | -24 | 27 |
| 10 | Dungannon SwiftsDungannon | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 24 |
| 11 | Ballymena UnitedBallymena | 25 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 45 | -28 | 18 |
| 12 | Newry City AFC | 25 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 18 | 62 | -44 | 12 |
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