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Nations League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Mar 19, 2025 at 11pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
GN

Italy
vs.
Germany

 

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Italy 1-3 France
Sunday, November 17 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Current League A2 Standings P GD PTS
1France6613
2Italy6513
3Belgium6-34
4Israel6-84
All competitions
Last Game: Hungary 1-1 Germany
Tuesday, November 19 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Italy win with a probability of 41.74%. A win for Germany has a probability of 34.6% and a draw has a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.23%) and 2-0 (5.95%). The likeliest Germany win is 1-2 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.69%).

Result
ItalyDrawGermany
41.74%23.66%34.6%
Both teams to score 62.32%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.42%39.57%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.07%61.92%
Italy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.7%19.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.96%51.04%
Germany Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.23%22.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.53%56.46%
Score Analysis
    Italy 41.74%
    Germany 34.6%
    Draw 23.65%
ItalyDrawGermany
2-1 @ 8.8%
1-0 @ 7.23%
2-0 @ 5.95%
3-1 @ 4.83%
3-2 @ 3.57%
3-0 @ 3.26%
4-1 @ 1.99%
4-2 @ 1.47%
4-0 @ 1.34%
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 41.74%
1-1 @ 10.69%
2-2 @ 6.51%
0-0 @ 4.39%
3-3 @ 1.76%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.65%
1-2 @ 7.91%
0-1 @ 6.5%
0-2 @ 4.81%
1-3 @ 3.9%
2-3 @ 3.21%
0-3 @ 2.37%
1-4 @ 1.44%
2-4 @ 1.19%
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 34.6%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Italy 1-3 France
Sunday, November 17 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Belgium 0-1 Italy
Thursday, November 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Italy 4-1 Israel
Monday, October 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Italy 2-2 Belgium
Thursday, October 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Israel 1-2 Italy
Monday, September 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: France 1-3 Italy
Friday, September 6 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Hungary 1-1 Germany
Tuesday, November 19 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Germany 7-0 Bosnia H'vina
Saturday, November 16 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Germany 1-0 Netherlands
Monday, October 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Bosnia H'vina 1-2 Germany
Friday, October 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Netherlands 2-2 Germany
Tuesday, September 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Germany 5-0 Hungary
Saturday, September 7 at 7.45pm in Nations League


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