Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Italy win with a probability of 41.74%. A win for Germany has a probability of 34.6% and a draw has a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Italy win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.23%) and 2-0 (5.95%). The likeliest Germany win is 1-2 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.69%).
