While their winning run ended on Thursday, it looks like Italy have re-found their rhythm since the Euros, so they should be too good for limited opponents in Udine. Israel have scored in each game so far, though, and they could find the net despite suffering a fourth straight defeat in Group 2. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Italy win with a probability of 63.01%. A draw has a probability of 20.7% and a win for Israel has a probability of 16.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy win is 2-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.8%), while for a Israel win it is 0-1 (4.84%).

Result
Italy	Draw	Israel
63.01% ( 0.14)	20.69% ( 0.06)	16.3% ( -0.2)

Both teams to score 52.2% (

-0.63)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.42% (

-0.63)

43.58% (

0.63)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.03% (

-0.62)

65.97% (

0.62)

Italy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.79% (

-0.15)

13.21% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.06% (

-0.31)

39.94% (

0.31)

Israel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.14% (

-0.62)

39.86% (

0.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.48% (

-0.58)

76.52% (

0.58)

Score Analysis

Italy 63%

Israel 16.3%

Draw 20.69%

Italy	Draw	Israel
2-0 @ 10.78% ( 0.17) 1-0 @ 10.65% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 6.7% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 3.68% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.39% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 1.49% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.1% Total : 63%	1-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.26% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.12% Total : 20.69%	0-1 @ 4.84% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.94% Total : 16.3%