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Tuesday, March 18
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Nations League | Playoffs A/B | 1st Leg
Mar 20, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis
SN

Greece
vs.
Scotland

 

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Finland 0-2 Greece
Sunday, November 17 at 5pm in Nations League
All competitions
Last Game: Poland 1-2 Scotland
Monday, November 18 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We say: Greece 2-1 Scotland

Although Scotland have most of their main men fit and ready this month - and they finally found a way to win at the end of 2024 - they may take a one-goal deficit back home. Winners at Wembley a few months ago, Greece can be vibrant in the final third and are a tight unit, so the hosts should get their noses in front before heading to Hampden. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Greece win with a probability of 65.39%. A draw has a probability of 19.5% and a win for Scotland has a probability of 15.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greece win is 2-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.92%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.19%), while for a Scotland win it is 0-1 (4.27%).

Result
GreeceDrawScotland
65.39% (0.524 0.52) 19.52% (-0.136 -0.14) 15.09% (-0.39 -0.39)
Both teams to score 53.34% (-0.504 -0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.35% (-0.189 -0.19)40.64% (0.186 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.97% (-0.194 -0.19)63.03% (0.192 0.19)
Greece Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.35% (0.084999999999994 0.08)11.65% (-0.087 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.3% (0.185 0.18)36.69% (-0.188 -0.19)
Scotland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.37% (-0.63 -0.63)39.62% (0.628 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.69% (-0.588 -0.59)76.3% (0.58500000000001 0.59)
Score Analysis
    Greece 65.38%
    Scotland 15.09%
    Draw 19.52%
GreeceDrawScotland
2-0 @ 10.66% (0.16 0.16)
1-0 @ 9.92% (0.119 0.12)
2-1 @ 9.88% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 7.65% (0.144 0.14)
3-1 @ 7.08% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.11% (0.091 0.09)
4-1 @ 3.8% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.28% (-0.051 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.77% (0.045 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.76% (-0.021 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.64% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 65.38%
1-1 @ 9.19% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-0 @ 4.62% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.57% (-0.087000000000001 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 19.52%
0-1 @ 4.27% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-2 @ 4.25% (-0.096 -0.1)
0-2 @ 1.98% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.41% (-0.051 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.31% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 15.09%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Finland 0-2 Greece
Sunday, November 17 at 5pm in Nations League
Last Game: Greece 0-3 England
Thursday, November 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Greece 2-0 Rep. Ireland
Sunday, October 13 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: England 1-2 Greece
Thursday, October 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Rep. Ireland 0-2 Greece
Tuesday, September 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Greece 3-0 Finland
Saturday, September 7 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Poland 1-2 Scotland
Monday, November 18 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Scotland 1-0 Croatia
Friday, November 15 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Scotland 0-0 Portugal
Tuesday, October 15 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Croatia 2-1 Scotland
Saturday, October 12 at 5pm in Nations League
Last Game: Portugal 2-1 Scotland
Sunday, September 8 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Scotland 2-3 Poland
Thursday, September 5 at 7.45pm in Nations League


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